I am of the opinion (but touching wood as I say it) that Obama’s got this in the bag. Oh, sure Citizen’s United opened the floodgates and you’re going to see a massive negative ad campaign, but I don’t think it will move the needle much. Republicans have loads of money to make ads, but they generally make really bad ones.
If they want to try and paint Obama as an elitist…
But the real reason the O man is going to make it look like a cakewalk is that Mitt Romney, like all the other Republican candidates, peaked too early. His party’s convention is still a couple of months away, but he’s got a lock on the nomination. The scrutiny has begun.
Sure, this brings up lots of dirt on Romney, like the bank accounts in Switzerland and the Cayman Islands, the John Laubner incident, specific dirty deeds at Bain Capital and much, much more, but that’s not all it does. Actually, Romney is probably glad to get all of this dirt out of the way early. Not only does it pre-empt an October surprise, it practically inoculates him against one. (Oh, he fucked a goat? Well, I’m not surprised.)
The main thing it does, the great thing for Obama, is it establishes the rules early. Mitt can’t say one day that he’s going to revisit the Reverend Wright controversy and then the next day say that he can’t be held responsible for his supporters views.
Which is it?
He claims that he’s not a birther, but he’s standing right up there on stage with Donald the Huge, King of the Birthers.
Which is it?
Now, all eyes are on Barry and Mitt, and the rules are being established. If religion is a fair subject, we can make all sorts of fun of Mitten’s magic underwear, his post-mortem baptisms and all that other weird Mormon stuff.
If things that happened as kids are a fair subject, Mitt will seriously lose. He was basically the Draco Malfoy of his prep school.
If, contrary to his weaselly Republican nature, Romney feels compelled to actually talk about issues like health care, the economy, jobs, whatever…then Obama will crush him.
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